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Tom Lee Explains Why His Post Consensus Bitcoin Prediction Went South

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Tom Lee Explains Why His Post Consensus Bitcoin Prediction Went South

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Fundstrat Global’s outspoken co-founder and cryptoanalyst Tom Lee, has explained to CNBC why he feels that his predictions of Bitcoin getting an injection from the last week’s New York Consensus Conference, didn’t actually come to fruition.

Although Tom Lee stands by his prediction of $25K by end of 2018 position, he suggests that the reasons the market, not only didn’t receive the suggested boost but in fact, lost value, was mainly due to the current lack of clarity in regulation and custodial announcements at the conference. Firstly, he explained why the bitcoin price should have gained from the Blockchain week of events in NYC:

“Given conferences like Consensus are chances for the community to gather in a centralized place and meet constituents new to the community (growth in attendance), it seems natural that the combination of ‘sanity check’ (all is OK and progress is happening) plus ‘new interest’ (incremental attendance) should strengthen the crypto-community’s conviction… And coupled with growth in incremental constituents, should have aided crypto-currency prices.”

Lee clearly wasn’t alone in expecting a bitcoin rally after the conference. Many were expecting a surge due to the popularity of the event and the number of attendees, particularly after months of uncertainty in the cryptocurrency market, and bitcoin’s recent signs of slow recovery. The total crypto market cap actually sank by $40 billion during the conference and bitcoin price declined by 3 percent.

Lee maintains that it wasn’t all negative, suggesting, “I think Consensus was a huge success. It is a great conference to bring a lot of people together from around the world. The quality of the people that were there was amazing.” He added:

“Bitcoin doesn’t have to go up every day to move from $8,000 to $25,000. The ten best days account for all the return of bitcoin in a year. If you didn’t own bitcoin for ten days each year, you lost 25 percent each year.”

The Fundstrat analyst suggested that crypto enthusiasts expect that regulation needs further careful clarification and discussion, and was disappointed at the lack of a current nuanced approach by regulators in this regard.

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